Smart Forecast
Definition
Smart Forecast is an AI-corrected forecast: the property’s committed forecast feeds a model, which compares it against historical patterns, OTB trajectory, day-of-week effects, and event calendars, then publishes a delta and a recommendation. The revenue manager keeps the final say.
What it tells you
AI-assisted forecasting works best as a correction layer on top of a human-built base — not a replacement. The committed forecast captures judgment (a soft week the manager expects, an event the model hasn’t learned yet); the AI catches drift the manager would otherwise miss.
How to track it
Modern BI / RMS tools surface AI-corrected forecasts alongside the base. Peaqplus runs Smart Forecast as a daily 60-day correction with monthly published MAPE / SMAPE / MAE accuracy reports.
Where it fits
The forward-looking layer for properties that want the AI assist without giving up control of the number. The accuracy reporting is the discipline that keeps the AI honest — if it doesn’t beat the base forecast, switch it off.